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The low pressure area over southeast and adjoining east central Arabian Sea & Lakshadweep area concentrated into a depression over eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea and lay centred at 0530 hours IST of today (1 June) near latitude 13.0 deg. N and longitude 71.4 deg. E about 370 km southwest of Panjim (Goa), 690km south-southwest of Mumbai (Maharashtra) and 920 km south-southwest of Surat (Gujarat).
It is very likely to intensify into a deep depression over eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea during next 12 hours and intensify further into a cyclonic storm over eastcentral Arabian Sea during the subsequent 24 hours. It is very likely to move nearly northwards initially till 2 June morning and then recurve north-northeastwards and cross north Maharashtra and south Gujarat coasts between Harihareshwar (Raigad, Maharashtra) and Daman during evening/ night of 3 June…
RAINFALL:
Under the influence of the depression, light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy falls very likely over Lakshadweep area, north Kerala and coastal Karnataka, today, 1 June. Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places very likely over south Konkan & Goa on 1 June. Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls very likely over Konkan & Goa on 2 June and over south Konkan & Goa on 3 June.
Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places over north Konkan and north Madhya Maharashtra on 3 & 4 June.
Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls very likely over south Gujarat state, Daman, Diu, Dadra & Nagar Haveli on 3 June and with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places over south Gujarat state, Daman, Diu, Dadra & Nagar Haveli and on 4 June.
WIND WARNING:
Squally wind, speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph, is prevailing over eastcentral and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea. It is very likely to become 50-60kmph gusting to 70kmph over eastcentral and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea during next 48 hours. It will gradually increase becoming gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph over eastcentral Arabian Sea and along and off south Maharashtra coast from 2 June morning and further becoming 105-115 kmph gusting to 125 kmph over eastcentral and northeast Arabian Sea along & off Maharashtra coast and 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph along & off south Gujarat coast from 3 June evening.
Squally wind, speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph is likely prevail over eastcentral Arabian Sea along and off Karnataka-Goa coasts during next 48 hours.
Squally wind, speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph is likely to prevail over Lakshadweep area and along & off Kerala coast during next 48 hours.
SEA CONDITION:
The sea condition is very likely to be rough to very rough over eastcentral & adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea during next 48 hours. It would become very rough to high over eastcentral & southeast Arabian Sea and along & off Karnataka-Goa coasts during next 48 hours. It will be High to very High over Eastcentral Arabian Sea along and off Maharashtra coast from 2 June.
The sea condition is very likely to be very rough to high over northeast Arabian Sea along & off Gujarat coast from 3 June…
(For information about operations in India, contact GAC India at [email protected])
Source: Extracts from India Meterological Department Bulletin No.11 issued at 0920 hours local time on 1 June 2020